Ebook: Modeling Demographic Processes In Marked Populations
- Tags: Statistics for Life Sciences Medicine Health Sciences, Math. Appl. in Environmental Science, Nature Conservation
- Series: Environmental and Ecological Statistics 3
- Year: 2009
- Publisher: Springer US
- Edition: 1
- Language: English
- pdf
Much of biology can be understood in terms of demography. It is the demographic processes of birth and death which govern rates of population growth and the rates at which gene frequencies change. The analysis of demographic processes in free-living organisms is, however, far from simple. Scientists from diverse fields in biology and statistics have united to address the challenges by developing mark-recapture methods and other approaches. Progress has been rapid, and this volume represents a snapshot of the emerging field. It has eleven sections in total, covering the most important biological and statistical frontiers, new software developments, and an open forum. It covers the latest approaches in modeling population dynamics, evolutionary ecology and wildlife biology. It addresses issues in the estimation of abundance and movement, and it covers new statistical approaches in the combination of information, Bayesian statistics, Robust Designs and the modeling of state-uncertainty.
Much of biology can be understood in terms of demography. It is the demographic processes of birth and death which govern rates of population growth and the rates at which gene frequencies change. The analysis of demographic processes in free-living organisms is, however, far from simple. Scientists from diverse fields in biology and statistics have united to address the challenges by developing mark-recapture methods and other approaches. Progress has been rapid, and this volume represents a snapshot of the emerging field. It has eleven sections in total, covering the most important biological and statistical frontiers, new software developments, and an open forum. It covers the latest approaches in modeling population dynamics, evolutionary ecology and wildlife biology. It addresses issues in the estimation of abundance and movement, and it covers new statistical approaches in the combination of information, Bayesian statistics, Robust Designs and the modeling of state-uncertainty.
Much of biology can be understood in terms of demography. It is the demographic processes of birth and death which govern rates of population growth and the rates at which gene frequencies change. The analysis of demographic processes in free-living organisms is, however, far from simple. Scientists from diverse fields in biology and statistics have united to address the challenges by developing mark-recapture methods and other approaches. Progress has been rapid, and this volume represents a snapshot of the emerging field. It has eleven sections in total, covering the most important biological and statistical frontiers, new software developments, and an open forum. It covers the latest approaches in modeling population dynamics, evolutionary ecology and wildlife biology. It addresses issues in the estimation of abundance and movement, and it covers new statistical approaches in the combination of information, Bayesian statistics, Robust Designs and the modeling of state-uncertainty.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xxiv
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Inference About Population Growth....Pages 3-17
Assessing Density-Dependence: Where Are We Left?....Pages 19-32
The Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic Seabird Species....Pages 43-58
Multivariate State Space Modelling of Bird Migration Count Data....Pages 59-79
Front Matter....Pages 81-81
Contribution of Capture-Mark-Recapture Modeling to Studies of Evolution by Natural Selection....Pages 83-129
Application of Capture–Recapture to Addressing Questions in Evolutionary Ecology....Pages 131-152
Estimating Reproductive Costs with Multi-State Mark-Recapture Models, Multiple Observable States, and Temporary Emigration....Pages 157-172
Estimating Latent Time of Maturation and Survival Costs of Reproduction in Continuous Time from Capture–Recapture Data....Pages 173-197
Front Matter....Pages 199-199
Inferences About Landbird Abundance from Count Data: Recent Advances and Future Directions....Pages 201-235
Sources of Measurement Error, Misclassification Error, and Bias in Auditory Avian Point Count Data....Pages 237-254
Density Estimation by Spatially Explicit Capture–Recapture: Likelihood-Based Methods....Pages 255-269
A Generalized Mixed Effects Model of Abundance for Mark-Resight Data When Sampling is Without Replacement....Pages 271-289
Evaluation of the Linkage Disequilibrium Method for Estimating Effective Population Size....Pages 291-320
Front Matter....Pages 321-321
Migration and Movement – The Next Stage....Pages 323-347
Stopover Duration Analysis with Departure Probability Dependent on Unknown Time Since Arrival....Pages 349-363
Habitat Selection, Age-Specific Recruitment and Reproductive Success in a Long-Lived Seabird....Pages 365-392
Cubic Splines for Estimating the Distribution of Residence Time Using Individual Resightings Data....Pages 393-415
Detecting Invisible Migrants: An Application of Genetic Methods to Estimate Migration Rates....Pages 417-437
Front Matter....Pages 439-439
Stochastic Variation in Avian Survival Rates: Life-History Predictions, Population Consequences, and the Potential Responses to Human Perturbations and Climate Change....Pages 441-461
Filling a Void: Abundance Estimation of North American Populations of Arctic Geese Using Hunter Recoveries....Pages 463-489
Front Matter....Pages 439-439
Integration of Demographic Analyses and Decision Modeling in Support of Management of Invasive Monk Parakeets, an Urban and Agricultural Pest....Pages 491-510
Front Matter....Pages 511-511
Completing the Ecological Jigsaw....Pages 513-539
Using a State-Space Model of the British Song Thrush Turdus philomelos Population to Diagnose the Causes of a Population Decline....Pages 541-561
A Hierarchical Covariate Model for Detection, Availability and Abundance of Florida Manatees at a Warm Water Aggregation Site....Pages 563-578
An Integrated Analysis of Multisite Recruitment, Mark-Recapture-Recovery and Multisite Census Data....Pages 579-591
Front Matter....Pages 594-594
Bayes Factors and Multimodel Inference....Pages 595-615
Estimating Demographic Parameters from Complex Data Sets: A Comparison of Bayesian Hierarchical and Maximum-Likelihood Methods for Estimating Survival Probabilities of Tawny Owls, Strix aluco in Finland....Pages 617-637
Inference About Species Richness and Community Structure Using Species-Specific Occupancy Models in the National Swiss Breeding Bird Survey MHB....Pages 639-656
Time-Varying Covariates and Semi-Parametric Regression in Capture–Recapture: An Adaptive Spline Approach....Pages 657-675
A Further Step Toward the Mother-of-All-Models: Flexibility and Functionality in the Modeling of Capture–Recapture Data....Pages 677-689
Front Matter....Pages 691-691
Exploring Extensions to Multi-State Models with Multiple Unobservable States....Pages 693-709
Extending the Robust Design for DNA-Based Capture–Recapture Data Incorporating Genotyping Error and Laboratory Data....Pages 711-726
A Traditional and a Less-Invasive Robust Design: Choices in Optimizing Effort Allocation for Seabird Population Studies....Pages 727-744
Non-random Temporary Emigration and the Robust Design: Conditions for Bias at the End of a Time Series....Pages 745-761
Front Matter....Pages 763-763
One Size Does Not Fit All: Adapting Mark-Recapture and Occupancy Models for State Uncertainty....Pages 765-780
The Stakes of Capture–Recapture Models with State Uncertainty....Pages 781-795
Rank and Redundancy of Multistate Mark-Recapture Models for Seabird Populations with Unobservable States....Pages 797-825
Mark-Recapture Jolly-Seber Abundance Estimation with Classification Uncertainty....Pages 827-844
Program E-Surge: A Software Application for Fitting Multievent Models....Pages 845-865
Estimation of Lifetime Reproductive Success When Reproductive Status Cannot Always Be Assessed....Pages 867-879
Front Matter....Pages 881-881
WinBUGS for Population Ecologists: Bayesian Modeling Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods....Pages 883-915
Comparison of Fixed Effect, Random Effect, and Hierarchical Bayes Estimators for Mark Recapture Data Using AD Model Builder....Pages 917-946
Front Matter....Pages 947-947
On Adjusting for Missed Visits in the Indexing of Abundance from “Constant Effort” Ringing....Pages 949-963
Simulation Performance of Bayesian Estimators of Abundance Employing Age-at-Harvest and Mark-Recovery Data....Pages 965-986
A Spatial Model for Estimating Mortality Rates, Abundance and Movement Probabilities from Fishery Tag-Recovery Data....Pages 987-1010
Gaussian Semiparametric Analysis Using Hierarchical Predictive Models....Pages 1011-1035
Effect of Senescence on Estimation of Survival Probability When Age Is Unknown....Pages 1037-1053
Weak Identifiability in Models for Mark-Recapture-Recovery Data....Pages 1055-1067
Estimating N: A Robust Approach to Capture Heterogeneity....Pages 1069-1080
Evaluation of Bias, Precision and Accuracy of Mortality Cause Proportion Estimators from Ring Recovery Data....Pages 1081-1097
Standardising Terminology and Notation for the Analysis of Demographic Processes in Marked Populations....Pages 1099-1106
Estimating the Seasonal Distribution of Migrant Bird Species: Can Standard Ringing Data Be Used?....Pages 1107-1117
Evaluation of a Bayesian MCMC Random Effects Inference Methodology for Capture-Mark-Recapture Data....Pages 1119-1127
On Adjusting for Missed Visits in the Indexing of Abundance from “Constant Effort” Ringing....Pages 1132-1135
Simulation Performance of Bayesian Estimators of Abundance Employing Age-at-Harvest and Mark-Recovery Data....Pages 1136-1137
Back Matter....Pages 1129-1131
Much of biology can be understood in terms of demography. It is the demographic processes of birth and death which govern rates of population growth and the rates at which gene frequencies change. The analysis of demographic processes in free-living organisms is, however, far from simple. Scientists from diverse fields in biology and statistics have united to address the challenges by developing mark-recapture methods and other approaches. Progress has been rapid, and this volume represents a snapshot of the emerging field. It has eleven sections in total, covering the most important biological and statistical frontiers, new software developments, and an open forum. It covers the latest approaches in modeling population dynamics, evolutionary ecology and wildlife biology. It addresses issues in the estimation of abundance and movement, and it covers new statistical approaches in the combination of information, Bayesian statistics, Robust Designs and the modeling of state-uncertainty.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xxiv
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Inference About Population Growth....Pages 3-17
Assessing Density-Dependence: Where Are We Left?....Pages 19-32
The Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic Seabird Species....Pages 43-58
Multivariate State Space Modelling of Bird Migration Count Data....Pages 59-79
Front Matter....Pages 81-81
Contribution of Capture-Mark-Recapture Modeling to Studies of Evolution by Natural Selection....Pages 83-129
Application of Capture–Recapture to Addressing Questions in Evolutionary Ecology....Pages 131-152
Estimating Reproductive Costs with Multi-State Mark-Recapture Models, Multiple Observable States, and Temporary Emigration....Pages 157-172
Estimating Latent Time of Maturation and Survival Costs of Reproduction in Continuous Time from Capture–Recapture Data....Pages 173-197
Front Matter....Pages 199-199
Inferences About Landbird Abundance from Count Data: Recent Advances and Future Directions....Pages 201-235
Sources of Measurement Error, Misclassification Error, and Bias in Auditory Avian Point Count Data....Pages 237-254
Density Estimation by Spatially Explicit Capture–Recapture: Likelihood-Based Methods....Pages 255-269
A Generalized Mixed Effects Model of Abundance for Mark-Resight Data When Sampling is Without Replacement....Pages 271-289
Evaluation of the Linkage Disequilibrium Method for Estimating Effective Population Size....Pages 291-320
Front Matter....Pages 321-321
Migration and Movement – The Next Stage....Pages 323-347
Stopover Duration Analysis with Departure Probability Dependent on Unknown Time Since Arrival....Pages 349-363
Habitat Selection, Age-Specific Recruitment and Reproductive Success in a Long-Lived Seabird....Pages 365-392
Cubic Splines for Estimating the Distribution of Residence Time Using Individual Resightings Data....Pages 393-415
Detecting Invisible Migrants: An Application of Genetic Methods to Estimate Migration Rates....Pages 417-437
Front Matter....Pages 439-439
Stochastic Variation in Avian Survival Rates: Life-History Predictions, Population Consequences, and the Potential Responses to Human Perturbations and Climate Change....Pages 441-461
Filling a Void: Abundance Estimation of North American Populations of Arctic Geese Using Hunter Recoveries....Pages 463-489
Front Matter....Pages 439-439
Integration of Demographic Analyses and Decision Modeling in Support of Management of Invasive Monk Parakeets, an Urban and Agricultural Pest....Pages 491-510
Front Matter....Pages 511-511
Completing the Ecological Jigsaw....Pages 513-539
Using a State-Space Model of the British Song Thrush Turdus philomelos Population to Diagnose the Causes of a Population Decline....Pages 541-561
A Hierarchical Covariate Model for Detection, Availability and Abundance of Florida Manatees at a Warm Water Aggregation Site....Pages 563-578
An Integrated Analysis of Multisite Recruitment, Mark-Recapture-Recovery and Multisite Census Data....Pages 579-591
Front Matter....Pages 594-594
Bayes Factors and Multimodel Inference....Pages 595-615
Estimating Demographic Parameters from Complex Data Sets: A Comparison of Bayesian Hierarchical and Maximum-Likelihood Methods for Estimating Survival Probabilities of Tawny Owls, Strix aluco in Finland....Pages 617-637
Inference About Species Richness and Community Structure Using Species-Specific Occupancy Models in the National Swiss Breeding Bird Survey MHB....Pages 639-656
Time-Varying Covariates and Semi-Parametric Regression in Capture–Recapture: An Adaptive Spline Approach....Pages 657-675
A Further Step Toward the Mother-of-All-Models: Flexibility and Functionality in the Modeling of Capture–Recapture Data....Pages 677-689
Front Matter....Pages 691-691
Exploring Extensions to Multi-State Models with Multiple Unobservable States....Pages 693-709
Extending the Robust Design for DNA-Based Capture–Recapture Data Incorporating Genotyping Error and Laboratory Data....Pages 711-726
A Traditional and a Less-Invasive Robust Design: Choices in Optimizing Effort Allocation for Seabird Population Studies....Pages 727-744
Non-random Temporary Emigration and the Robust Design: Conditions for Bias at the End of a Time Series....Pages 745-761
Front Matter....Pages 763-763
One Size Does Not Fit All: Adapting Mark-Recapture and Occupancy Models for State Uncertainty....Pages 765-780
The Stakes of Capture–Recapture Models with State Uncertainty....Pages 781-795
Rank and Redundancy of Multistate Mark-Recapture Models for Seabird Populations with Unobservable States....Pages 797-825
Mark-Recapture Jolly-Seber Abundance Estimation with Classification Uncertainty....Pages 827-844
Program E-Surge: A Software Application for Fitting Multievent Models....Pages 845-865
Estimation of Lifetime Reproductive Success When Reproductive Status Cannot Always Be Assessed....Pages 867-879
Front Matter....Pages 881-881
WinBUGS for Population Ecologists: Bayesian Modeling Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods....Pages 883-915
Comparison of Fixed Effect, Random Effect, and Hierarchical Bayes Estimators for Mark Recapture Data Using AD Model Builder....Pages 917-946
Front Matter....Pages 947-947
On Adjusting for Missed Visits in the Indexing of Abundance from “Constant Effort” Ringing....Pages 949-963
Simulation Performance of Bayesian Estimators of Abundance Employing Age-at-Harvest and Mark-Recovery Data....Pages 965-986
A Spatial Model for Estimating Mortality Rates, Abundance and Movement Probabilities from Fishery Tag-Recovery Data....Pages 987-1010
Gaussian Semiparametric Analysis Using Hierarchical Predictive Models....Pages 1011-1035
Effect of Senescence on Estimation of Survival Probability When Age Is Unknown....Pages 1037-1053
Weak Identifiability in Models for Mark-Recapture-Recovery Data....Pages 1055-1067
Estimating N: A Robust Approach to Capture Heterogeneity....Pages 1069-1080
Evaluation of Bias, Precision and Accuracy of Mortality Cause Proportion Estimators from Ring Recovery Data....Pages 1081-1097
Standardising Terminology and Notation for the Analysis of Demographic Processes in Marked Populations....Pages 1099-1106
Estimating the Seasonal Distribution of Migrant Bird Species: Can Standard Ringing Data Be Used?....Pages 1107-1117
Evaluation of a Bayesian MCMC Random Effects Inference Methodology for Capture-Mark-Recapture Data....Pages 1119-1127
On Adjusting for Missed Visits in the Indexing of Abundance from “Constant Effort” Ringing....Pages 1132-1135
Simulation Performance of Bayesian Estimators of Abundance Employing Age-at-Harvest and Mark-Recovery Data....Pages 1136-1137
Back Matter....Pages 1129-1131
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