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The genesis of this volume was in a one-day meeting arranged under the auspices of the Nathematical Ecology Group, jointly of the British Region of the Biometric Society and the British Ecological Society, and held in the Natural History Museum in London on the 4th May 1982. The object of the meeting was to bring together individuals from different dis­ ciplines but with a common interest in ornithology. In this volume we have tried to preserve the flavour of the meeting so that all but two of the papers read or pre­ sented as posters can be found here. The two papers that have not been included have since been published elsewhere: see Birkhead and Nettleship (1983) and Cav~ (1983). Further papers have been added to the volume from contributors who were unable to attend the London meeting, or were unable to present a paper there. All of the papers were refereed by ourselves. A volume which contains papers by both statisticians and non-statisticians is inevitably going to be variable with regard to the depth and range of statistical techniques used. Thus non-statisticians are likely to find some of the papers written by statisticians difficult at times, and conversely statisticians n2Y find that they would have treated some problems differently from non-statisticians. It is hoped, however, that this volun~ will increase awareness of the interests and problems (including solutions), in the general area of ornithology, and stimulate cross-fertilisation of ideas.








Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XXV
The General Context of Statistics in Ornithology....Pages 1-9
Front Matter....Pages 11-11
Winter Feeding Assemblies, Wing Lengths and Weights of British Dunnocks....Pages 13-24
A Bivariate Discrete Model of Changing Colour in Blackbirds....Pages 25-35
Migration Counts and Local Weather at British Bird Observatories — An Examination By Linear Discriminant Analysis....Pages 37-64
Statistical Problems in the Study of Seed-Eating Birds....Pages 65-76
Models to Describe Razorbill Movements....Pages 77-84
Accounting for Visible Migration....Pages 85-89
Front Matter....Pages 91-91
Multivariate Analysis of Atlas Data....Pages 93-112
A Test for Seasonal Occurence....Pages 113-120
An Index of Population Change With Application to the Common Bird Census....Pages 121-132
Area-Species Incidence Recording....Pages 133-150
Analyses of Nest Spacings....Pages 151-158
An Assessment of Species-Area Relationships Using Ornithological Data....Pages 159-170
Apparent Systematic Effects on Species-Area Curves under Isolation and Evolution....Pages 171-178
Front Matter....Pages 179-179
Are Hunting Losses of Young Black Ducks (Anas Rubripes) Too High?....Pages 181-195
The Estimation of Survival in Bird Populations By Recaptures or Sightings of Marked Individuals....Pages 197-213
Maximum Likelihood Methods for Investigating Reporting Rates of Rings on Hunter-Shot Birds....Pages 215-241
Examples of the Use Of Glim to Analyse Capture-Recapture Studies....Pages 243-273
Age-Dependent Mortality Rates of Some Common British Birds....Pages 275-288
Estimation and Comparison of Functions of Daily Nest Survival Probabilities Using the Mayfield Method....Pages 289-301
Front Matter....Pages 179-179
Prior Knowledge and Ornithology....Pages 303-310
Inherent Difficulties in Estimating Age-Specific Bird Survival Rates from Ring Recoveries....Pages 311-321
The Effect of Age on Survival in the Canada Goose, (Branta Canadensis) in Nottinghamshire....Pages 323-340
Estimation of Age-Specific Survival of Hen Harriers (Circus C. Cyaneus) in Orkney....Pages 341-354
Approximate Unbiased Estimation in the Multi-Sample Single Recapture Census....Pages 355-362
Approximately Unbiased Variance Estimation for the Jolly-Seber Mark-Recapture Model: Population Size....Pages 363-371
Back Matter....Pages 373-418



Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XXV
The General Context of Statistics in Ornithology....Pages 1-9
Front Matter....Pages 11-11
Winter Feeding Assemblies, Wing Lengths and Weights of British Dunnocks....Pages 13-24
A Bivariate Discrete Model of Changing Colour in Blackbirds....Pages 25-35
Migration Counts and Local Weather at British Bird Observatories — An Examination By Linear Discriminant Analysis....Pages 37-64
Statistical Problems in the Study of Seed-Eating Birds....Pages 65-76
Models to Describe Razorbill Movements....Pages 77-84
Accounting for Visible Migration....Pages 85-89
Front Matter....Pages 91-91
Multivariate Analysis of Atlas Data....Pages 93-112
A Test for Seasonal Occurence....Pages 113-120
An Index of Population Change With Application to the Common Bird Census....Pages 121-132
Area-Species Incidence Recording....Pages 133-150
Analyses of Nest Spacings....Pages 151-158
An Assessment of Species-Area Relationships Using Ornithological Data....Pages 159-170
Apparent Systematic Effects on Species-Area Curves under Isolation and Evolution....Pages 171-178
Front Matter....Pages 179-179
Are Hunting Losses of Young Black Ducks (Anas Rubripes) Too High?....Pages 181-195
The Estimation of Survival in Bird Populations By Recaptures or Sightings of Marked Individuals....Pages 197-213
Maximum Likelihood Methods for Investigating Reporting Rates of Rings on Hunter-Shot Birds....Pages 215-241
Examples of the Use Of Glim to Analyse Capture-Recapture Studies....Pages 243-273
Age-Dependent Mortality Rates of Some Common British Birds....Pages 275-288
Estimation and Comparison of Functions of Daily Nest Survival Probabilities Using the Mayfield Method....Pages 289-301
Front Matter....Pages 179-179
Prior Knowledge and Ornithology....Pages 303-310
Inherent Difficulties in Estimating Age-Specific Bird Survival Rates from Ring Recoveries....Pages 311-321
The Effect of Age on Survival in the Canada Goose, (Branta Canadensis) in Nottinghamshire....Pages 323-340
Estimation of Age-Specific Survival of Hen Harriers (Circus C. Cyaneus) in Orkney....Pages 341-354
Approximate Unbiased Estimation in the Multi-Sample Single Recapture Census....Pages 355-362
Approximately Unbiased Variance Estimation for the Jolly-Seber Mark-Recapture Model: Population Size....Pages 363-371
Back Matter....Pages 373-418
....
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