Ebook: Innovations for our Future: Delphi ’98: New Foresight on Science and Technology

Foresight has experienced a great upswing in the last few years, partly in view of the Millenium. Innovations forourFuture describes not only the big development trends of the future in research and technology, but also the re-discovery of the Delphi method. The Delphi method is not new, but with further developed methodology it is being used increasingly to take stock of innovative future developments. The book describes results of the widespread national survey of 1998, a German-Japanese comparison, another comparison with the preceding Delphi study as well as its utilization and implementation.

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Foresight has experienced a great upswing in the last few years, partly in view of the Millenium. Innovations forourFuture describes not only the big development trends of the future in research and technology, but also the re-discovery of the Delphi method. The Delphi method is not new, but with further developed methodology it is being used increasingly to take stock of innovative future developments. The book describes results of the widespread national survey of 1998, a German-Japanese comparison, another comparison with the preceding Delphi study as well as its utilization and implementation.

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Foresight has experienced a great upswing in the last few years, partly in view of the Millenium. Innovations forourFuture describes not only the big development trends of the future in research and technology, but also the re-discovery of the Delphi method. The Delphi method is not new, but with further developed methodology it is being used increasingly to take stock of innovative future developments. The book describes results of the widespread national survey of 1998, a German-Japanese comparison, another comparison with the preceding Delphi study as well as its utilization and implementation.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XV
History and Basic Methods....Pages 1-24
Outline of the Second Comprehensive Outline of Delphi Study in Germany....Pages 25-40
Aggregated Assessments across all Subject Areas....Pages 41-70
The Subject Areas....Pages 71-146
Megatrends: Stereotyped Thinking Pattern of the Experts?....Pages 147-168
Comparison of the Asessments between Delphi ’98 and Former Studies....Pages 169-181
German-Japanese Comparison....Pages 183-226
Selected Methodological Problems....Pages 227-249
Outlook....Pages 251-261
Back Matter....Pages 263-271

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Foresight has experienced a great upswing in the last few years, partly in view of the Millenium. Innovations forourFuture describes not only the big development trends of the future in research and technology, but also the re-discovery of the Delphi method. The Delphi method is not new, but with further developed methodology it is being used increasingly to take stock of innovative future developments. The book describes results of the widespread national survey of 1998, a German-Japanese comparison, another comparison with the preceding Delphi study as well as its utilization and implementation.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XV
History and Basic Methods....Pages 1-24
Outline of the Second Comprehensive Outline of Delphi Study in Germany....Pages 25-40
Aggregated Assessments across all Subject Areas....Pages 41-70
The Subject Areas....Pages 71-146
Megatrends: Stereotyped Thinking Pattern of the Experts?....Pages 147-168
Comparison of the Asessments between Delphi ’98 and Former Studies....Pages 169-181
German-Japanese Comparison....Pages 183-226
Selected Methodological Problems....Pages 227-249
Outlook....Pages 251-261
Back Matter....Pages 263-271
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