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The aim of this book, Future of the Telecommunications Industry: Forecasting and Demand Analysis, is to describe leading research in the area of empirical telecommunications demand analysis and forecasting in the light of tremendous market and regulatory changes. Its purpose is to educate the reader about how traditional analytic techniques can be used to assess new telecommunications products and how new analytic techniques can better address existing products. The research presented focuses on new products such as Internet access and additional lines and new techniques such as hazard modeling, adaptive forecasting and neural networks.
The scope of this volume includes new telecommunications products, new analytical techniques, and a review of market changes in the US and other countries. Some of the most critical questions facing the industry are addressed here, such as the impact of competition, customer churn, rate re-balancing, and early assessment of new products. The research includes a variety of different countries, products and analytic tools.




The aim of this book, Future of the Telecommunications Industry: Forecasting and Demand Analysis, is to describe leading research in the area of empirical telecommunications demand analysis and forecasting in the light of tremendous market and regulatory changes. Its purpose is to educate the reader about how traditional analytic techniques can be used to assess new telecommunications products and how new analytic techniques can better address existing products. The research presented focuses on new products such as Internet access and additional lines and new techniques such as hazard modeling, adaptive forecasting and neural networks.
The scope of this volume includes new telecommunications products, new analytical techniques, and a review of market changes in the US and other countries. Some of the most critical questions facing the industry are addressed here, such as the impact of competition, customer churn, rate re-balancing, and early assessment of new products. The research includes a variety of different countries, products and analytic tools.


The aim of this book, Future of the Telecommunications Industry: Forecasting and Demand Analysis, is to describe leading research in the area of empirical telecommunications demand analysis and forecasting in the light of tremendous market and regulatory changes. Its purpose is to educate the reader about how traditional analytic techniques can be used to assess new telecommunications products and how new analytic techniques can better address existing products. The research presented focuses on new products such as Internet access and additional lines and new techniques such as hazard modeling, adaptive forecasting and neural networks.
The scope of this volume includes new telecommunications products, new analytical techniques, and a review of market changes in the US and other countries. Some of the most critical questions facing the industry are addressed here, such as the impact of competition, customer churn, rate re-balancing, and early assessment of new products. The research includes a variety of different countries, products and analytic tools.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xv
Introduction....Pages 1-3
Front Matter....Pages 5-5
Telecommunications Demand Analysis in Transition: An Overview of Part I....Pages 7-19
An Econometric Study of the Demand for Access to the Internet....Pages 21-41
Demand for and Use of Additional Lines by Residential Customers....Pages 43-59
The Changing Market for Inland and International Calls....Pages 61-81
Demand Modeling at Bell Canada: A Retrospective....Pages 83-95
Effects of Large Price Reductions on Toll and Carrier Access Demand in California....Pages 97-114
Semi-Parametric Estimates of Intra-Lata Demand Elasticities....Pages 115-124
Front Matter....Pages 125-125
Forecasting New Products and the Impact of Competition: An Overview of Part II....Pages 127-136
Forecasting New Telecommunication Services at a “Pre-Development” Product Stage....Pages 137-165
Analysis of Customer Expectations for the Introduction of New Telecommunications Services....Pages 167-178
Limits to Growth in Telecom Markets?....Pages 179-201
Forecasting Telephony Demand Against a Background of Major Structural Change....Pages 203-215
161 Days of Full Competition — Some Observations from the German Market....Pages 217-248
Competition in the Chinese Cellular Market: Promise and Problematic....Pages 249-264
Back Matter....Pages 265-269


The aim of this book, Future of the Telecommunications Industry: Forecasting and Demand Analysis, is to describe leading research in the area of empirical telecommunications demand analysis and forecasting in the light of tremendous market and regulatory changes. Its purpose is to educate the reader about how traditional analytic techniques can be used to assess new telecommunications products and how new analytic techniques can better address existing products. The research presented focuses on new products such as Internet access and additional lines and new techniques such as hazard modeling, adaptive forecasting and neural networks.
The scope of this volume includes new telecommunications products, new analytical techniques, and a review of market changes in the US and other countries. Some of the most critical questions facing the industry are addressed here, such as the impact of competition, customer churn, rate re-balancing, and early assessment of new products. The research includes a variety of different countries, products and analytic tools.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xv
Introduction....Pages 1-3
Front Matter....Pages 5-5
Telecommunications Demand Analysis in Transition: An Overview of Part I....Pages 7-19
An Econometric Study of the Demand for Access to the Internet....Pages 21-41
Demand for and Use of Additional Lines by Residential Customers....Pages 43-59
The Changing Market for Inland and International Calls....Pages 61-81
Demand Modeling at Bell Canada: A Retrospective....Pages 83-95
Effects of Large Price Reductions on Toll and Carrier Access Demand in California....Pages 97-114
Semi-Parametric Estimates of Intra-Lata Demand Elasticities....Pages 115-124
Front Matter....Pages 125-125
Forecasting New Products and the Impact of Competition: An Overview of Part II....Pages 127-136
Forecasting New Telecommunication Services at a “Pre-Development” Product Stage....Pages 137-165
Analysis of Customer Expectations for the Introduction of New Telecommunications Services....Pages 167-178
Limits to Growth in Telecom Markets?....Pages 179-201
Forecasting Telephony Demand Against a Background of Major Structural Change....Pages 203-215
161 Days of Full Competition — Some Observations from the German Market....Pages 217-248
Competition in the Chinese Cellular Market: Promise and Problematic....Pages 249-264
Back Matter....Pages 265-269
....
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