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The Instituts Internationaux de Physique et de Chimie fondis par E. Solvay and the Institute of Nonequilibrium systems of Beijing Normal University jointly sponsored a conference on "The Complexity and Self-organization in Socio­ economic Systems" on October 17-20, 1994 at Beijing, China. The purpose of the conference was to explore the complexity and evolutionary laws of socio­ economic systems through nonlinear dynamic systems and self-organization theory. The conference was chaired by Professor M. Sanglier and Professor Fang Fukang and was introduced by the Nobel prize winner, Professor I. Prigogine and the vice director of the Chinese National System Reform Committee, Mr. Wu Jie. The conference was held at an important time. On the one hand, the research in the natural sciences about the evolution of complex systems has made great progress, modern scientific theories such as nonlinear dynamic system theory and self-organization theory are becoming more and more mature and a series of methods dealing with these complex systems are being developed which enable us to understand and study non equilibrium, uncertainty and instability. On the other hand, human societies around the world witness a general increase of connectedness, interactivity and an increase of reaction speeds to decisions. In this context, the deterministic, linear way of thinking becomes more and more inadequate and this stimulates the development of non linear science.




This volume deals with nonlinear dynamic modelling in the social sciences. In addition to theoretical and methodological contributions, some papers offer precious insights for the understanding of non-equilibrium dynamics underlying managerial and technological innovation problems, regional and international dynamics and macroeconomic policies, especially in the present social transition in China. The reader will find qualitative descriptions, data analyses, deterministic and stochastic dynamic models as well as artificial intelligence models. Applied nonlinear dynamic modelling in the social sciences is still in its infancy, therefore, such a combination of approaches will undoubtedly provide the reader with very stimulating suggestions for further work in


This volume deals with nonlinear dynamic modelling in the social sciences. In addition to theoretical and methodological contributions, some papers offer precious insights for the understanding of non-equilibrium dynamics underlying managerial and technological innovation problems, regional and international dynamics and macroeconomic policies, especially in the present social transition in China. The reader will find qualitative descriptions, data analyses, deterministic and stochastic dynamic models as well as artificial intelligence models. Applied nonlinear dynamic modelling in the social sciences is still in its infancy, therefore, such a combination of approaches will undoubtedly provide the reader with very stimulating suggestions for further work in
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-IX
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Opening speech of the conference....Pages 3-4
Market Economy and Systematic Management....Pages 5-11
Front Matter....Pages 13-13
Macroeconomic Dynamic Model and Economic Evolution....Pages 15-28
Economic Cycles in a Behavioral Disequilibrium Perspective....Pages 29-49
The Evolution of Economic System and the Development of Economy in China....Pages 50-56
The Complexity of Economic Evolution — Change Speeds and Time Scales....Pages 57-75
A Dynamic Model and Numerical Experiment on the Evolution of Macroeconomics....Pages 76-83
Investment for Technology Progress, Increasing Marginal Products and Bistable State of Economic Growth....Pages 84-93
No Limit Cycle: Chen’s Learning Competition Model Revisited....Pages 94-97
Growth and Fluctuation Analysis of Chinese Economy....Pages 98-105
Front Matter....Pages 107-107
Evolutionary Complex Systems: The Self-Organization of Communities....Pages 109-134
About a Dynamic Model of High Technology Industry: Impact of Investments on the Competitiveness of the Products....Pages 135-151
A Model for Corporate Productivity....Pages 152-169
Cognitive Microeconomy in a Society of Autoteaching and Specular Hedonistic Agents....Pages 170-186
A Dynamic Analysis of Regional Inequality in China’s Economic Development....Pages 187-195
The Selection of Behavioral Conventions in an Evolutionary Model of Economic Dynamics....Pages 196-214
Improving Foreign Investment Structureto Promote Industrial Structure Optimization....Pages 215-219
Guangdong’s Financial Policy in Transformation to a Matured Market Economy....Pages 220-223
Technological substitution effects with ISIS, a spatial, inter-sectoral nonlinear dynamic model....Pages 224-263
Front Matter....Pages 265-265
An Application of the Extended Linear Expenditure System to Pattern of Demand in the Jiangsu Province of China....Pages 267-275
Front Matter....Pages 265-265
A Master Equation Approach for the Modelling of Interregional Flows....Pages 276-290
Economic Entropy and Its Application to the Structure of the Transport System....Pages 291-297
Foundation & Prospect of Sino—European Market Combination....Pages 298-309
A Generalized Ramsey Pricing Model with Applications to Chinese Postal and Telecommunications Services....Pages 310-317


This volume deals with nonlinear dynamic modelling in the social sciences. In addition to theoretical and methodological contributions, some papers offer precious insights for the understanding of non-equilibrium dynamics underlying managerial and technological innovation problems, regional and international dynamics and macroeconomic policies, especially in the present social transition in China. The reader will find qualitative descriptions, data analyses, deterministic and stochastic dynamic models as well as artificial intelligence models. Applied nonlinear dynamic modelling in the social sciences is still in its infancy, therefore, such a combination of approaches will undoubtedly provide the reader with very stimulating suggestions for further work in
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-IX
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Opening speech of the conference....Pages 3-4
Market Economy and Systematic Management....Pages 5-11
Front Matter....Pages 13-13
Macroeconomic Dynamic Model and Economic Evolution....Pages 15-28
Economic Cycles in a Behavioral Disequilibrium Perspective....Pages 29-49
The Evolution of Economic System and the Development of Economy in China....Pages 50-56
The Complexity of Economic Evolution — Change Speeds and Time Scales....Pages 57-75
A Dynamic Model and Numerical Experiment on the Evolution of Macroeconomics....Pages 76-83
Investment for Technology Progress, Increasing Marginal Products and Bistable State of Economic Growth....Pages 84-93
No Limit Cycle: Chen’s Learning Competition Model Revisited....Pages 94-97
Growth and Fluctuation Analysis of Chinese Economy....Pages 98-105
Front Matter....Pages 107-107
Evolutionary Complex Systems: The Self-Organization of Communities....Pages 109-134
About a Dynamic Model of High Technology Industry: Impact of Investments on the Competitiveness of the Products....Pages 135-151
A Model for Corporate Productivity....Pages 152-169
Cognitive Microeconomy in a Society of Autoteaching and Specular Hedonistic Agents....Pages 170-186
A Dynamic Analysis of Regional Inequality in China’s Economic Development....Pages 187-195
The Selection of Behavioral Conventions in an Evolutionary Model of Economic Dynamics....Pages 196-214
Improving Foreign Investment Structureto Promote Industrial Structure Optimization....Pages 215-219
Guangdong’s Financial Policy in Transformation to a Matured Market Economy....Pages 220-223
Technological substitution effects with ISIS, a spatial, inter-sectoral nonlinear dynamic model....Pages 224-263
Front Matter....Pages 265-265
An Application of the Extended Linear Expenditure System to Pattern of Demand in the Jiangsu Province of China....Pages 267-275
Front Matter....Pages 265-265
A Master Equation Approach for the Modelling of Interregional Flows....Pages 276-290
Economic Entropy and Its Application to the Structure of the Transport System....Pages 291-297
Foundation & Prospect of Sino—European Market Combination....Pages 298-309
A Generalized Ramsey Pricing Model with Applications to Chinese Postal and Telecommunications Services....Pages 310-317
....
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