Ebook: Energy Policy Planning

The Advanced Research Institute (ARI) on "The Application of Systems Science to Energy Policy Planning" was held under the auspices of the NATO Special Programme Panel on Systems Science in collaboration with the National Center for Analysis of Energy Sys­ tems, Brookhaven National Laboratory, USA, as a part of the NATO Science Committee's continuous effort to promote the advancement of science through international cooperation. Advanced Research Institutes are sponsored by the NATO Science Committee for the purposes of bringing together senior scientists to seek consensus on an assessment of the present state of knowl­ edge on a specific topic and to make recommendations for future research directions. Meetings are structured to encourage inten­ sive group discussion. Invitees are carefully selected so that the group as a whole will contain the experience and expertise neces­ sary to make the conclusions valid and significant. A final report is published presenting the various viewpoints and conclusions. The NATO Systems Science Panel noted that the systems approach is increasingly being applied to energy policy analysis and plan­ ning in both public and private sectors of national economies. Consequently, it seemed appropriate at this time to bring together experts to review and evaluate recent experience, in order to iden­ tify strengths and weaknesses in current prac tice, and to make recommendations for research directions.

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-ix
Overview....Pages 1-16
Keynote Address: One Statistician’s Observations Concerning Energy Modeling....Pages 17-33
Use of Models in Decision Making: A Policy Maker’s View....Pages 35-45
Use of Models in Decision Making: A Policy Maker’s View....Pages 47-55
Use of Models in Decision Making: A Policy Maker’s View....Pages 57-62
Working Group 1: Energy Model and Data Support and Operation....Pages 63-78
Working Group 2: Methods for Model Evaluation....Pages 79-89
Working Group 3: Technical Structure of Energy Models....Pages 91-99
Working Group 4: The Communication Problem in Energy Policy Analysis....Pages 101-126
Resource Modeling: Problems in the State of the Art....Pages 127-158
Energy Models and Technology Assessment....Pages 159-172
The Development of Electricity in the Future French Energy Balance: An Example of Readjustment....Pages 173-181
Comments on the Papers Presented in the Session on Supply Modeling....Pages 183-186
Modeling Energy Demand in the Short Term and the Midterm: The EIA Experience....Pages 187-199
Modeling Production and Pricing within an Interindustry Framework....Pages 201-214
Use of Energy Models for Business Decisions....Pages 215-220
Energy Demand Analysis and Modeling....Pages 221-232
Discussion of the Session on Demand Modeling....Pages 233-243
Survey of Present Energy Models with Particular Reference to the European Community....Pages 245-258
Model Comparison for Energy Policy and Planning....Pages 259-285
An Integrated Energy Modeling Approach: Experience at IIASA....Pages 287-305
Capital, Energy, and Labor Cross-Substitution Elasticities in a Developing Country: The Case of Greek Manufacturing....Pages 307-316
Discussion of Papers Presented in Comprehensive/Integrated Modeling Systems Session....Pages 317-319
A Progress Report on the Development of Generalized Equilibrium Modeling....Pages 321-334
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve: How Large Should it be?....Pages 335-386
An Examination of Econometric Energy Modeling and Comparison with Alternative Methodologies....Pages 387-397
Multiobjective Energy Analysis....Pages 399-420
Validation and Assessment Issues of Energy Models....Pages 421-441
Implementation Aspects of Model Management: A Focus on Computer-Assisted Analysis....Pages 443-459
Back Matter....Pages 461-467

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-ix
Overview....Pages 1-16
Keynote Address: One Statistician’s Observations Concerning Energy Modeling....Pages 17-33
Use of Models in Decision Making: A Policy Maker’s View....Pages 35-45
Use of Models in Decision Making: A Policy Maker’s View....Pages 47-55
Use of Models in Decision Making: A Policy Maker’s View....Pages 57-62
Working Group 1: Energy Model and Data Support and Operation....Pages 63-78
Working Group 2: Methods for Model Evaluation....Pages 79-89
Working Group 3: Technical Structure of Energy Models....Pages 91-99
Working Group 4: The Communication Problem in Energy Policy Analysis....Pages 101-126
Resource Modeling: Problems in the State of the Art....Pages 127-158
Energy Models and Technology Assessment....Pages 159-172
The Development of Electricity in the Future French Energy Balance: An Example of Readjustment....Pages 173-181
Comments on the Papers Presented in the Session on Supply Modeling....Pages 183-186
Modeling Energy Demand in the Short Term and the Midterm: The EIA Experience....Pages 187-199
Modeling Production and Pricing within an Interindustry Framework....Pages 201-214
Use of Energy Models for Business Decisions....Pages 215-220
Energy Demand Analysis and Modeling....Pages 221-232
Discussion of the Session on Demand Modeling....Pages 233-243
Survey of Present Energy Models with Particular Reference to the European Community....Pages 245-258
Model Comparison for Energy Policy and Planning....Pages 259-285
An Integrated Energy Modeling Approach: Experience at IIASA....Pages 287-305
Capital, Energy, and Labor Cross-Substitution Elasticities in a Developing Country: The Case of Greek Manufacturing....Pages 307-316
Discussion of Papers Presented in Comprehensive/Integrated Modeling Systems Session....Pages 317-319
A Progress Report on the Development of Generalized Equilibrium Modeling....Pages 321-334
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve: How Large Should it be?....Pages 335-386
An Examination of Econometric Energy Modeling and Comparison with Alternative Methodologies....Pages 387-397
Multiobjective Energy Analysis....Pages 399-420
Validation and Assessment Issues of Energy Models....Pages 421-441
Implementation Aspects of Model Management: A Focus on Computer-Assisted Analysis....Pages 443-459
Back Matter....Pages 461-467
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