Ebook: Stochastic Hydrology and its Use in Water Resources Systems Simulation and Optimization

Stochastic hydrology is an essential base of water resources systems analysis, due to the inherent randomness of the input, and consequently of the results. These results have to be incorporated in a decision-making process regarding the planning and management of water systems. It is through this application that stochastic hydrology finds its true meaning, otherwise it becomes merely an academic exercise.
A set of well known specialists from both stochastic hydrology and water resources systems present a synthesis of the actual knowledge currently used in real-world planning and management.
The book is intended for both practitioners and researchers who are willing to apply advanced approaches for incorporating hydrological randomness and uncertainty into the simulation and optimization of water resources systems.


(abstract)
Stochastic hydrology is a basic tool for water resources systems analysis, due to inherent randomness of the hydrologic cycle. This book contains actual techniques in use for water resources planning and management, incorporating randomness into the decision making process. Optimization and simulation, the classical systems-analysis technologies, are revisited under up-to-date statistical hydrology findings backed by real world applications.

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-viii
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
General Introduction to Application of Stochastic Hydrology in Water Resources....Pages 3-23
Philosophy of Model Building....Pages 25-45
Models for Data Generation in Hydrology: Univariate Techniques....Pages 47-73
Models for Data Generation in Hydrology: Multivariate Techniques....Pages 75-95
Aggregation and Disaggregation Modelling....Pages 97-116
Armax and Transfer Function Modelling in Hydrology....Pages 117-135
Stochastic Models of Temporal Rainfall: Reproducibility, Estimation and Prediction of Extreme Events....Pages 137-173
Practical Results in Simulation and Forecasting....Pages 175-188
Use and Misuse of Stochastic Hydrology in Water Resources....Pages 189-208
Some Thoughts About the State-of-the-Art in Stochastic Hydrology and Streamflow Forecasting....Pages 209-215
Issues in the Modelling of Precipitation....Pages 217-220
Front Matter....Pages 221-221
Some Applications of Time Series Models to Climate Study (Southern Oscillation): Modelling, Forecasting and Predictability....Pages 223-227
Conceptual Basis of Stochastic Models of Monthly Streamflows....Pages 229-235
A Nonlinear, Nonstationary Stochastic Model for the Prediction of Storage in the Edwards Aquifer, Texas....Pages 237-246
Appropriate Time Resolution for Stochastic Drought Analysis....Pages 247-265
Parameter Estimation in Real-Time Flood Forecasting Via Conceptual Models....Pages 267-281
Linear Stochastic Non-Stationary Rainfall-Runoff Modelling and Forecasting....Pages 283-292
Front Matter....Pages 293-293
Explicit Stochastic Optimization....Pages 295-306
Implicit Stochastic Optimization and Simulation....Pages 307-318
Multiobjective Analysis in Water Resources Part I Numerical Versus Non-numerical Criteria and Discrete Versus Continuous Alternatives....Pages 319-332
Front Matter....Pages 293-293
Multiobjective Analysis in Water Resources Part II — A New Typology of MCDM Techniques....Pages 333-343
Combining Simulation and Optimization in River Basin Management....Pages 345-371
Decision Support Systems in Water Resources....Pages 373-396
Expert Systems in Water Resources Simulation and Optimization....Pages 397-412
The Segura River Basin Model. Disaggregation in a Semiarid Environment....Pages 413-423
Optimization and Simulation Models Applied to the Segura Water Resources System in Spain....Pages 425-437
Iterative Dynamic Programming Techniques: A Case Study....Pages 439-451
Use and Non-use of Water Management Models in Sweden: Experiences from Model Development Tests....Pages 453-459
Front Matter....Pages 461-461
Practical Implementation of Water Resource Systems Analysis in a Water Utility in the UK....Pages 463-467
Expert Systems for Flood Hydrological Forecasting and Decision Support....Pages 469-480
Back Matter....Pages 481-483

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-viii
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
General Introduction to Application of Stochastic Hydrology in Water Resources....Pages 3-23
Philosophy of Model Building....Pages 25-45
Models for Data Generation in Hydrology: Univariate Techniques....Pages 47-73
Models for Data Generation in Hydrology: Multivariate Techniques....Pages 75-95
Aggregation and Disaggregation Modelling....Pages 97-116
Armax and Transfer Function Modelling in Hydrology....Pages 117-135
Stochastic Models of Temporal Rainfall: Reproducibility, Estimation and Prediction of Extreme Events....Pages 137-173
Practical Results in Simulation and Forecasting....Pages 175-188
Use and Misuse of Stochastic Hydrology in Water Resources....Pages 189-208
Some Thoughts About the State-of-the-Art in Stochastic Hydrology and Streamflow Forecasting....Pages 209-215
Issues in the Modelling of Precipitation....Pages 217-220
Front Matter....Pages 221-221
Some Applications of Time Series Models to Climate Study (Southern Oscillation): Modelling, Forecasting and Predictability....Pages 223-227
Conceptual Basis of Stochastic Models of Monthly Streamflows....Pages 229-235
A Nonlinear, Nonstationary Stochastic Model for the Prediction of Storage in the Edwards Aquifer, Texas....Pages 237-246
Appropriate Time Resolution for Stochastic Drought Analysis....Pages 247-265
Parameter Estimation in Real-Time Flood Forecasting Via Conceptual Models....Pages 267-281
Linear Stochastic Non-Stationary Rainfall-Runoff Modelling and Forecasting....Pages 283-292
Front Matter....Pages 293-293
Explicit Stochastic Optimization....Pages 295-306
Implicit Stochastic Optimization and Simulation....Pages 307-318
Multiobjective Analysis in Water Resources Part I Numerical Versus Non-numerical Criteria and Discrete Versus Continuous Alternatives....Pages 319-332
Front Matter....Pages 293-293
Multiobjective Analysis in Water Resources Part II — A New Typology of MCDM Techniques....Pages 333-343
Combining Simulation and Optimization in River Basin Management....Pages 345-371
Decision Support Systems in Water Resources....Pages 373-396
Expert Systems in Water Resources Simulation and Optimization....Pages 397-412
The Segura River Basin Model. Disaggregation in a Semiarid Environment....Pages 413-423
Optimization and Simulation Models Applied to the Segura Water Resources System in Spain....Pages 425-437
Iterative Dynamic Programming Techniques: A Case Study....Pages 439-451
Use and Non-use of Water Management Models in Sweden: Experiences from Model Development Tests....Pages 453-459
Front Matter....Pages 461-461
Practical Implementation of Water Resource Systems Analysis in a Water Utility in the UK....Pages 463-467
Expert Systems for Flood Hydrological Forecasting and Decision Support....Pages 469-480
Back Matter....Pages 481-483
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