Ebook: Cognitive Strategies in Stochastic Thinking

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-X
Toward an Understanding of Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty....Pages 1-7
Front Matter....Pages 9-9
The ‘Base-Rate Fallacy’ — Heuristics and/or the Modeling of Judgmental Biases by Information Weights....Pages 10-56
A Conceptualization of the Multitude of Strategies in Base-Rate Problems....Pages 57-92
Modes of Thought and Problem Framing in the Stochastic Thinking of Students and Experts (Sophisticated Decision Makers)....Pages 93-140
Front Matter....Pages 141-141
Stochastic Thinking, Modes of Thought, and A Framework for the Process and Structure of Human Information Processing....Pages 142-189
Back Matter....Pages 190-219

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-X
Toward an Understanding of Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty....Pages 1-7
Front Matter....Pages 9-9
The ‘Base-Rate Fallacy’ — Heuristics and/or the Modeling of Judgmental Biases by Information Weights....Pages 10-56
A Conceptualization of the Multitude of Strategies in Base-Rate Problems....Pages 57-92
Modes of Thought and Problem Framing in the Stochastic Thinking of Students and Experts (Sophisticated Decision Makers)....Pages 93-140
Front Matter....Pages 141-141
Stochastic Thinking, Modes of Thought, and A Framework for the Process and Structure of Human Information Processing....Pages 142-189
Back Matter....Pages 190-219
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