Ebook: Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis

Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

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Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented on model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined based on numerous courses the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Uffe B. Kj?rulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.

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Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented on model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined based on numerous courses the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Uffe B. Kj?rulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.

Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xvii
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Introduction....Pages 3-15
Networks....Pages 17-37
Probabilities....Pages 39-67
Probabilistic Networks....Pages 69-109
Solving Probabilistic Networks....Pages 111-142
Front Matter....Pages 143-143
Eliciting the Model....Pages 145-189
Modeling Techniques....Pages 191-236
Data-Driven Modeling....Pages 237-288
Front Matter....Pages 289-289
Conflict Analysis....Pages 291-301
Sensitivity Analysis....Pages 303-325
Value of Information Analysis....Pages 327-339
Back Matter....Pages 341-382

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Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented on model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined based on numerous courses the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Uffe B. Kj?rulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.

Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xvii
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Introduction....Pages 3-15
Networks....Pages 17-37
Probabilities....Pages 39-67
Probabilistic Networks....Pages 69-109
Solving Probabilistic Networks....Pages 111-142
Front Matter....Pages 143-143
Eliciting the Model....Pages 145-189
Modeling Techniques....Pages 191-236
Data-Driven Modeling....Pages 237-288
Front Matter....Pages 289-289
Conflict Analysis....Pages 291-301
Sensitivity Analysis....Pages 303-325
Value of Information Analysis....Pages 327-339
Back Matter....Pages 341-382
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