Ebook: Electronic Systems Effectiveness and Life Cycle Costing

This volume contains the complete proceedings of a NATO Advanced Study Institute on various aspects of the reliability of electronic and other systems. The aim of the Insti~ute was to bring together specialists in this subject. An important outcome of this Conference, as many of the delegates have pointed out to me, was complementing theoretical concepts and practical applications in both software and hardware. The reader will find papers on the mathematical background, on reliability problems in establishments where system failure may be hazardous, on reliability assessment in mechanical systems, and also on life cycle cost models and spares allocation. The proceedings contain the texts of all the lectures delivered and also verbatim accounts of panel discussions on subjects chosen from a wide range of important issues. In this introduction I will give a short account of each contribution, stressing what I feel are the most interesting topics introduced by a lecturer or a panel member. To visualise better the extent and structure. of the Institute, I present a tree-like diagram showing the subjects which my co-directors and I would have wished to include in our deliberations (Figures 1 and 2). The names of our lecturers appear underlined under suitable headings. It can be seen that we have managed to cover most of the issues which seemed important to us. VI SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESS _---~-I~--_- Performance Safety Reliability ~intenance ~istic Lethality Hazards Support S.N.R. JARDINE Max. Vel. etc.

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XVII
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
System Reliability Analysis: Foundations....Pages 3-24
Complex System Modelling with Fault Trees and Stochastic Processes....Pages 25-53
Failure Mode, Effect and Criticality Analysis....Pages 55-74
Some Bayesian Approaches for Estimating the Failure Rate....Pages 75-92
Exponential Lifetime Model with Delayed Failure Detection....Pages 93-106
Point Processes and Renewal Theory: A Brief Survey....Pages 107-112
H. Ascher Comments on Professor Cox’s Paper....Pages 113-117
Regression Analysis of Repairable Systems Reliability....Pages 119-133
The Martingale Theory of Point Processes and its Application to the Analysis of Failure-Time Data....Pages 135-155
Risk Theory, Queue Theory and Life Distributions....Pages 157-174
Front Matter....Pages 175-175
RADC Failure Rate Prediction Methodology — Today and Tomorrow....Pages 177-200
Reliability Models — Practical Constraints....Pages 201-217
Statistical Detection of the Underlying Failure Distributions When Individual Failure Times Are Missing....Pages 219-236
Panel Discussion on Empirical Failure-Rate Prediction Models....Pages 237-266
On Methods for Reliability Growth Assessment During Development....Pages 267-278
Advanced Reliability Modeling of Fault-Tolerant Computer-Based Systems....Pages 279-302
NASA Approach to Space Shuttle Reliability....Pages 303-332
Satellite Reliability Estimation: Past and Present Procedures....Pages 333-355
Automatic Fault Diagnosis for Power Electronic Systems....Pages 357-367
Some Special Aspects of Mechanical Reliability....Pages 369-388
Front Matter....Pages 175-175
Response to Paper on Some Special Aspects of Mechanical Reliability, by Professor A D S Carter....Pages 389-392
Software Reliability Models: Concepts, Classification, Comparisons, and Practice....Pages 395-423
Developing Electronic Systems with Certifiable Reliability....Pages 425-439
On the Quality of Software Reliability Prediction....Pages 441-460
Panel Discussion on Achieving the Reliability and Safety Relevant to Computer Systems....Pages 461-484
Panel Discussion on Software Versus Hardware Reliability and Maintainability....Pages 485-510
Front Matter....Pages 511-511
Life Cycle Cost Models....Pages 513-532
Panel Discussion on Risk and Uncertainty Aspects of Life Cycle Costing....Pages 533-534
Decision Analysis and Life Cycle Costing....Pages 633-646
Component and System Replacement Decisions....Pages 647-654
Problems in Optimal Spare Provisioning....Pages 655-679
Life Cycle Cost Models and Associated Uncertainties....Pages 535-549
An Application of Logistic Support Cost Estimation in a Contracting Environment....Pages 551-582
Uncertainties of LCC Predictions....Pages 583-598
Uncertainties in Monte Carlo Simulation of Life Cycle Costs....Pages 599-620
The Treatment of Risk in Analysis: A Framework for Discussion....Pages 621-631
Front Matter....Pages 681-681
Panel Discussion on Assessment of the Performance of Warranties....Pages 683-696
Panel Discussion on Design Audit Programs....Pages 697-723
Back Matter....Pages 725-732

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Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XVII
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
System Reliability Analysis: Foundations....Pages 3-24
Complex System Modelling with Fault Trees and Stochastic Processes....Pages 25-53
Failure Mode, Effect and Criticality Analysis....Pages 55-74
Some Bayesian Approaches for Estimating the Failure Rate....Pages 75-92
Exponential Lifetime Model with Delayed Failure Detection....Pages 93-106
Point Processes and Renewal Theory: A Brief Survey....Pages 107-112
H. Ascher Comments on Professor Cox’s Paper....Pages 113-117
Regression Analysis of Repairable Systems Reliability....Pages 119-133
The Martingale Theory of Point Processes and its Application to the Analysis of Failure-Time Data....Pages 135-155
Risk Theory, Queue Theory and Life Distributions....Pages 157-174
Front Matter....Pages 175-175
RADC Failure Rate Prediction Methodology — Today and Tomorrow....Pages 177-200
Reliability Models — Practical Constraints....Pages 201-217
Statistical Detection of the Underlying Failure Distributions When Individual Failure Times Are Missing....Pages 219-236
Panel Discussion on Empirical Failure-Rate Prediction Models....Pages 237-266
On Methods for Reliability Growth Assessment During Development....Pages 267-278
Advanced Reliability Modeling of Fault-Tolerant Computer-Based Systems....Pages 279-302
NASA Approach to Space Shuttle Reliability....Pages 303-332
Satellite Reliability Estimation: Past and Present Procedures....Pages 333-355
Automatic Fault Diagnosis for Power Electronic Systems....Pages 357-367
Some Special Aspects of Mechanical Reliability....Pages 369-388
Front Matter....Pages 175-175
Response to Paper on Some Special Aspects of Mechanical Reliability, by Professor A D S Carter....Pages 389-392
Software Reliability Models: Concepts, Classification, Comparisons, and Practice....Pages 395-423
Developing Electronic Systems with Certifiable Reliability....Pages 425-439
On the Quality of Software Reliability Prediction....Pages 441-460
Panel Discussion on Achieving the Reliability and Safety Relevant to Computer Systems....Pages 461-484
Panel Discussion on Software Versus Hardware Reliability and Maintainability....Pages 485-510
Front Matter....Pages 511-511
Life Cycle Cost Models....Pages 513-532
Panel Discussion on Risk and Uncertainty Aspects of Life Cycle Costing....Pages 533-534
Decision Analysis and Life Cycle Costing....Pages 633-646
Component and System Replacement Decisions....Pages 647-654
Problems in Optimal Spare Provisioning....Pages 655-679
Life Cycle Cost Models and Associated Uncertainties....Pages 535-549
An Application of Logistic Support Cost Estimation in a Contracting Environment....Pages 551-582
Uncertainties of LCC Predictions....Pages 583-598
Uncertainties in Monte Carlo Simulation of Life Cycle Costs....Pages 599-620
The Treatment of Risk in Analysis: A Framework for Discussion....Pages 621-631
Front Matter....Pages 681-681
Panel Discussion on Assessment of the Performance of Warranties....Pages 683-696
Panel Discussion on Design Audit Programs....Pages 697-723
Back Matter....Pages 725-732
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