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Management science is a di scipl ine dedicated to the development of techniques that enable decision makers to cope with the increasing complexity of our world. The early burst of excitement which was spawned by the development and successful applications of linear programming to problems in both the public and private sectors has challenged researchers to develop even more sophisticated methods to deal with the complex nature of decision making. Sophistication, however, does not always trans 1 ate into more complex mathematics. Professor Thomas L. Saaty was working for the U. S. Defense Department and for the U. S. Department of State in the late 1960s and early 1970s. In these positions, Professor Saaty was exposed to some of the most complex decisions facing the world: arms control, the Middle East problem, and the development of a transport system for a Third­ World country. While having made major contributions to numerous areas of mathematics and the theory of operations research, he soon realized that one did not need complex mathematics to come to grips with these decision problems, just the right mathematics! Thus, Professor Saaty set out to develop a mathematically-based technique for analyzing complex situations which was sophisticated in its simplicity. This technique became known as the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and has become very successful in helping decision makers to structure and analyze a wide range of problems.








Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-VI
Introduction....Pages 1-2
The Art and Science of Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process....Pages 3-36
Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process: A Categorized, Annotated Bibliography....Pages 37-58
Group Decision Making and the AHP....Pages 59-67
An Alternate Measure of Consistency....Pages 68-81
A Decision Support Approach for R&D Project Selection....Pages 82-100
Project Selection by an Integrated Decision Aid....Pages 101-121
Water Research Planning in South Africa....Pages 122-137
Forecasting Loads and Designing Rates for Electric Utilities....Pages 138-154
Predicting a National Acid Rain Policy....Pages 155-170
Decision Support for War Games....Pages 171-181
Assessment of Security at Facilities That Produce Nuclear Weapons....Pages 182-191
AHP in Practice: Applications and Observations from a Management Consulting Perspective....Pages 192-212
Choosing Initial Antibiotic Therapy for Acute Pyelonephritis....Pages 213-224
An Analysis of Conflict in Northern Ireland....Pages 225-241
Site Selection for a Large Scale Integrated Circuits Factory....Pages 242-250
Business Strategy Formulation for a Financial Institution in a Developing Country....Pages 251-265
Back Matter....Pages 266-267



Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-VI
Introduction....Pages 1-2
The Art and Science of Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process....Pages 3-36
Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process: A Categorized, Annotated Bibliography....Pages 37-58
Group Decision Making and the AHP....Pages 59-67
An Alternate Measure of Consistency....Pages 68-81
A Decision Support Approach for R&D Project Selection....Pages 82-100
Project Selection by an Integrated Decision Aid....Pages 101-121
Water Research Planning in South Africa....Pages 122-137
Forecasting Loads and Designing Rates for Electric Utilities....Pages 138-154
Predicting a National Acid Rain Policy....Pages 155-170
Decision Support for War Games....Pages 171-181
Assessment of Security at Facilities That Produce Nuclear Weapons....Pages 182-191
AHP in Practice: Applications and Observations from a Management Consulting Perspective....Pages 192-212
Choosing Initial Antibiotic Therapy for Acute Pyelonephritis....Pages 213-224
An Analysis of Conflict in Northern Ireland....Pages 225-241
Site Selection for a Large Scale Integrated Circuits Factory....Pages 242-250
Business Strategy Formulation for a Financial Institution in a Developing Country....Pages 251-265
Back Matter....Pages 266-267
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