Ebook: Soft Computing for Risk Evaluation and Management: Applications in Technology, Environment and Finance

Risk is a crucial element in virtually all problems people in diverse areas face in their activities. It is impossible to find adequate models and solutions without taking it into account. Due to uncertainty and complexity in those problems, traditional "hard" tools and techniques may be insufficient for their formulation and solution.
This is the first book in the literature that shows how soft computing methods (fuzzy logic, neural networks, genetic algorithms, etc.) can be employed to deal with various problems related to risk analysis, evaluation and management in various fields of technology, environment and finance.

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Risk is a crucial element in virtually all problems people in diverse areas face in their activities. It is impossible to find adequate models and solutions without taking it into account. Due to uncertainty and complexity in those problems, traditional "hard" tools and techniques may be insufficient for their formulation and solution.
This is the first book in the literature that shows how soft computing methods (fuzzy logic, neural networks, genetic algorithms, etc.) can be employed to deal with various problems related to risk analysis, evaluation and management in various fields of technology, environment and finance.

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Risk is a crucial element in virtually all problems people in diverse areas face in their activities. It is impossible to find adequate models and solutions without taking it into account. Due to uncertainty and complexity in those problems, traditional "hard" tools and techniques may be insufficient for their formulation and solution.
This is the first book in the literature that shows how soft computing methods (fuzzy logic, neural networks, genetic algorithms, etc.) can be employed to deal with various problems related to risk analysis, evaluation and management in various fields of technology, environment and finance.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-IX
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Decision Making under Uncertainty with Ordinal Linguistic Data....Pages 3-16
Modeling Risk in Sequential Decision Making with Interval Probabilities....Pages 17-30
Fuzzy Risk Analysis Vs. Probability Risk Analysis....Pages 31-54
Soft Methods in Hypotheses Testing....Pages 55-72
Extensions and Applications of Evidence Theory....Pages 73-93
Front Matter....Pages 95-95
Data Mining Based on Evidence Theory....Pages 97-120
Interesting Rough Lattice-based Implication Rules Discovery....Pages 121-132
Concept Lattice-based Approach for Incrementally Association Mining....Pages 133-139
Neuro-Fuzzy Modelling of Time Series....Pages 140-154
A Fast Logically-Complete Preferential Reasoner for the Assessment of Critical Situations....Pages 155-169
Artificial Intelligence Classifiers and Their Social Impact....Pages 170-194
Front Matter....Pages 195-195
Analysis Support System of Human Reliability with Linguistic Expressions....Pages 197-228
A Cognitive and Formal Terminology for Descriptive Parameters in Concurrent Real-Time Distributed Software Systems....Pages 229-248
Safety Licensable and High Speed Programmable Digital Controllers Providing any Required Control Behaviour....Pages 249-271
Front Matter....Pages 273-273
Fuzzy Price Forecasting and Energy Contracting in Competitive Electricity Markets....Pages 275-320
System Modelling in Monitoring and Supervising System of Distributed Energy and Heat Supply Complex....Pages 321-336
Evidential Reasoning in Nuclear Waste Management....Pages 337-354
A Fuzzy Model of Heavy Metal Loadings in Marine Environment....Pages 355-371
Front Matter....Pages 373-373
Capital Budgeting Techniques Using Discounted Fuzzy Cash Flows....Pages 375-396
Survival Risk and Project Evaluation....Pages 397-409
Front Matter....Pages 373-373
Coherent Risk Measures and Linear Programming....Pages 410-431
Fuzzy Risk Management for Project Financing....Pages 432-446
Fuzzy Logic Based Risk Management in Financial Intermediation....Pages 447-471
Bank Creditworthiness Using Fuzzy Systems: A Comparison with a Classical Analysis Approach....Pages 472-486
Risk of Options — Impact of Volatility Parameter....Pages 487-500
Managing Portfolio of Options....Pages 501-514

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Risk is a crucial element in virtually all problems people in diverse areas face in their activities. It is impossible to find adequate models and solutions without taking it into account. Due to uncertainty and complexity in those problems, traditional "hard" tools and techniques may be insufficient for their formulation and solution.
This is the first book in the literature that shows how soft computing methods (fuzzy logic, neural networks, genetic algorithms, etc.) can be employed to deal with various problems related to risk analysis, evaluation and management in various fields of technology, environment and finance.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-IX
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Decision Making under Uncertainty with Ordinal Linguistic Data....Pages 3-16
Modeling Risk in Sequential Decision Making with Interval Probabilities....Pages 17-30
Fuzzy Risk Analysis Vs. Probability Risk Analysis....Pages 31-54
Soft Methods in Hypotheses Testing....Pages 55-72
Extensions and Applications of Evidence Theory....Pages 73-93
Front Matter....Pages 95-95
Data Mining Based on Evidence Theory....Pages 97-120
Interesting Rough Lattice-based Implication Rules Discovery....Pages 121-132
Concept Lattice-based Approach for Incrementally Association Mining....Pages 133-139
Neuro-Fuzzy Modelling of Time Series....Pages 140-154
A Fast Logically-Complete Preferential Reasoner for the Assessment of Critical Situations....Pages 155-169
Artificial Intelligence Classifiers and Their Social Impact....Pages 170-194
Front Matter....Pages 195-195
Analysis Support System of Human Reliability with Linguistic Expressions....Pages 197-228
A Cognitive and Formal Terminology for Descriptive Parameters in Concurrent Real-Time Distributed Software Systems....Pages 229-248
Safety Licensable and High Speed Programmable Digital Controllers Providing any Required Control Behaviour....Pages 249-271
Front Matter....Pages 273-273
Fuzzy Price Forecasting and Energy Contracting in Competitive Electricity Markets....Pages 275-320
System Modelling in Monitoring and Supervising System of Distributed Energy and Heat Supply Complex....Pages 321-336
Evidential Reasoning in Nuclear Waste Management....Pages 337-354
A Fuzzy Model of Heavy Metal Loadings in Marine Environment....Pages 355-371
Front Matter....Pages 373-373
Capital Budgeting Techniques Using Discounted Fuzzy Cash Flows....Pages 375-396
Survival Risk and Project Evaluation....Pages 397-409
Front Matter....Pages 373-373
Coherent Risk Measures and Linear Programming....Pages 410-431
Fuzzy Risk Management for Project Financing....Pages 432-446
Fuzzy Logic Based Risk Management in Financial Intermediation....Pages 447-471
Bank Creditworthiness Using Fuzzy Systems: A Comparison with a Classical Analysis Approach....Pages 472-486
Risk of Options — Impact of Volatility Parameter....Pages 487-500
Managing Portfolio of Options....Pages 501-514
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