Ebook: Risk Management Technologies: With Logic and Probabilistic Models
Author: E.D. Solozhentsev (auth.)
- Tags: Quality Control Reliability Safety and Risk, Mathematical Logic and Formal Languages, Business Information Systems
- Series: Topics in Safety Risk Reliability and Quality 20
- Year: 2012
- Publisher: Springer Netherlands
- Edition: 1
- Language: English
- pdf
This book presents intellectual, innovative, information technologies (I3-technologies) based on logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. The technologies presented here consider such models for structurally complex systems and processes with logical links and with random events in economics and technology.
The volume describes the following components of risk management technologies: LP-calculus; classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency; procedures for different classes; special software for different classes; examples of applications; methods for the estimation of probabilities of events based on expert information. Also described are a variety of training courses in these topics.
The classes of risk models treated here are: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, and LP-forecasting. Particular attention is paid to LP-models of risk of failure to resolve difficult economic and technical problems. Amongst the discussed procedures of I3-technologies are the construction of LP-models, LP-identification of risk models; LP-risk analysis, LP-management and LP-forecasting of risk.
The book further considers LP-models of risk of invalidity of systems and processes in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, LP-models of bank operational risks in accordance with the requirements of Basel-2, complex risk LP-models for preventing ammunition depot explosions, enterprise electric power supply systems, debugging tests of technical systems, etc. The book also considers LP-models of credit risks, securities portfolios, operational risks in banking, conteraction of bribes and corruption, etc.
A number of applications is given to show the effectiveness of risk management technologies. In addition, topics of lectures and practical computer exercises intended for a two-semester course “Risk management technologies” are suggested.
This book presents intellectual, innovative, information technologies (I3-technologies) based on logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. The technologies presented here consider such models for structurally complex systems and processes with logical links and with random events in economics and technology.
The volume describes the following components of risk management technologies: LP-calculus; classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency; procedures for different classes; special software for different classes; examples of applications; methods for the estimation of probabilities of events based on expert information. Also described are a variety of training courses in these topics.
The classes of risk models treated here are: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, and LP-forecasting. Particular attention is paid to LP-models of risk of failure to resolve difficult economic and technical problems. Amongst the discussed procedures of I3-technologies are the construction of LP-models, LP-identification of risk models; LP-risk analysis, LP-management and LP-forecasting of risk.
The book further considers LP-models of risk of invalidity of systems and processes in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, LP-models of bank operational risks in accordance with the requirements of Basel-2, complex risk LP-models for preventing ammunition depot explosions, enterprise electric power supply systems, debugging tests of technical systems, etc. The book also considers LP-models of credit risks, securities portfolios, operational risks in banking, conteraction of bribes and corruption, etc.
A number of applications is given to show the effectiveness of risk management technologies. In addition, topics of lectures and practical computer exercises intended for a two-semester course “Risk management technologies” are suggested.
This book presents intellectual, innovative, information technologies (I3-technologies) based on logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. The technologies presented here consider such models for structurally complex systems and processes with logical links and with random events in economics and technology.
The volume describes the following components of risk management technologies: LP-calculus; classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency; procedures for different classes; special software for different classes; examples of applications; methods for the estimation of probabilities of events based on expert information. Also described are a variety of training courses in these topics.
The classes of risk models treated here are: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, and LP-forecasting. Particular attention is paid to LP-models of risk of failure to resolve difficult economic and technical problems. Amongst the discussed procedures of I3-technologies are the construction of LP-models, LP-identification of risk models; LP-risk analysis, LP-management and LP-forecasting of risk.
The book further considers LP-models of risk of invalidity of systems and processes in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, LP-models of bank operational risks in accordance with the requirements of Basel-2, complex risk LP-models for preventing ammunition depot explosions, enterprise electric power supply systems, debugging tests of technical systems, etc. The book also considers LP-models of credit risks, securities portfolios, operational risks in banking, conteraction of bribes and corruption, etc.
A number of applications is given to show the effectiveness of risk management technologies. In addition, topics of lectures and practical computer exercises intended for a two-semester course “Risk management technologies” are suggested.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XXII
Fundamentals of Risks Management Technologies....Pages 1-28
Building LP-Risk Models of LP-Modeling Class....Pages 29-42
Building LP-Risk Model of LP-Classification Class....Pages 43-60
Building LP-Risk Models of LP-Efficiency and LP-Forecasting Classes....Pages 61-65
LP-Analysis of Risk and Efficiency in Systems....Pages 67-73
LP-Management of Risk and Efficiency....Pages 75-79
LP-Forecasting of Risk and Crisis in Systems....Pages 81-92
Software for Risks Management Technologies....Pages 93-101
Axioms and Definitions of Risks Management Technologies....Pages 103-122
Risk Management Technology of Building Company....Pages 123-130
Risk Management Technology of Transport Company....Pages 131-145
Risks Management Technologies for Analysis of Company Efficiency....Pages 147-152
Credit Risks Management Technology....Pages 153-163
Portfolio Risk Management Technology....Pages 165-172
Risks Management Technology of Company Management....Pages 173-178
Logical Probabilistic Models of Banks Operational Risks....Pages 179-200
Risks Management Technologies of Counteracting Bribery and Corruption....Pages 201-212
Invalidity Risks Management Technologies of Systems for Standard ISO 9001-2008....Pages 213-230
Risks Management Technologies of Restaurant....Pages 231-239
Risks Management Technology for Insurance of Fire Hazardous Objects....Pages 241-246
Risks Management Technology for a Bank....Pages 247-252
Assessment of Events Probabilities on Expert Information....Pages 253-273
Training Course: Risks Management Technologies....Pages 275-287
Risks Management Technologies as Business Object....Pages 289-295
Back Matter....Pages 297-305
This book presents intellectual, innovative, information technologies (I3-technologies) based on logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. The technologies presented here consider such models for structurally complex systems and processes with logical links and with random events in economics and technology.
The volume describes the following components of risk management technologies: LP-calculus; classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency; procedures for different classes; special software for different classes; examples of applications; methods for the estimation of probabilities of events based on expert information. Also described are a variety of training courses in these topics.
The classes of risk models treated here are: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, and LP-forecasting. Particular attention is paid to LP-models of risk of failure to resolve difficult economic and technical problems. Amongst the discussed procedures of I3-technologies are the construction of LP-models, LP-identification of risk models; LP-risk analysis, LP-management and LP-forecasting of risk.
The book further considers LP-models of risk of invalidity of systems and processes in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, LP-models of bank operational risks in accordance with the requirements of Basel-2, complex risk LP-models for preventing ammunition depot explosions, enterprise electric power supply systems, debugging tests of technical systems, etc. The book also considers LP-models of credit risks, securities portfolios, operational risks in banking, conteraction of bribes and corruption, etc.
A number of applications is given to show the effectiveness of risk management technologies. In addition, topics of lectures and practical computer exercises intended for a two-semester course “Risk management technologies” are suggested.
Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XXII
Fundamentals of Risks Management Technologies....Pages 1-28
Building LP-Risk Models of LP-Modeling Class....Pages 29-42
Building LP-Risk Model of LP-Classification Class....Pages 43-60
Building LP-Risk Models of LP-Efficiency and LP-Forecasting Classes....Pages 61-65
LP-Analysis of Risk and Efficiency in Systems....Pages 67-73
LP-Management of Risk and Efficiency....Pages 75-79
LP-Forecasting of Risk and Crisis in Systems....Pages 81-92
Software for Risks Management Technologies....Pages 93-101
Axioms and Definitions of Risks Management Technologies....Pages 103-122
Risk Management Technology of Building Company....Pages 123-130
Risk Management Technology of Transport Company....Pages 131-145
Risks Management Technologies for Analysis of Company Efficiency....Pages 147-152
Credit Risks Management Technology....Pages 153-163
Portfolio Risk Management Technology....Pages 165-172
Risks Management Technology of Company Management....Pages 173-178
Logical Probabilistic Models of Banks Operational Risks....Pages 179-200
Risks Management Technologies of Counteracting Bribery and Corruption....Pages 201-212
Invalidity Risks Management Technologies of Systems for Standard ISO 9001-2008....Pages 213-230
Risks Management Technologies of Restaurant....Pages 231-239
Risks Management Technology for Insurance of Fire Hazardous Objects....Pages 241-246
Risks Management Technology for a Bank....Pages 247-252
Assessment of Events Probabilities on Expert Information....Pages 253-273
Training Course: Risks Management Technologies....Pages 275-287
Risks Management Technologies as Business Object....Pages 289-295
Back Matter....Pages 297-305
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