Ebook: Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support: Strategic Directions

The papers in this volume integrate results from current research efforts in earthquake engineering with research from the larger risk assessment community. The authors include risk and hazard researchers from the major U.S. hazard and earthquake centers and some from abroad as well as programmers and analysts from leading insurance and risk assessment firms. The introductory chapter provides an historical overview of the rise of risk assessment in the U.S., with particular emphasis on the role of seismic risk assessment. Four key components of risk assessment and decision support software are analyzed in detail in the remaining papers: treatment of uncertainty, loss assessment, modeling of seismic mitigation strategies, and visualization of risk and uncertainty. The volume lays out a road map for future developments in risk modeling and decision support and positions earthquake engineering research within the family of risk analysis tools and techniques.

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The papers in this volume integrate results from current research efforts in earthquake engineering with research from the larger risk assessment community. The authors include risk and hazard researchers from the major U.S. hazard and earthquake centers and some from abroad as well as programmers and analysts from leading insurance and risk assessment firms. The introductory chapter provides an historical overview of the rise of risk assessment in the U.S., with particular emphasis on the role of seismic risk assessment. Four key components of risk assessment and decision support software are analyzed in detail in the remaining papers: treatment of uncertainty, loss assessment, modeling of seismic mitigation strategies, and visualization of risk and uncertainty. The volume lays out a road map for future developments in risk modeling and decision support and positions earthquake engineering research within the family of risk analysis tools and techniques.

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The papers in this volume integrate results from current research efforts in earthquake engineering with research from the larger risk assessment community. The authors include risk and hazard researchers from the major U.S. hazard and earthquake centers and some from abroad as well as programmers and analysts from leading insurance and risk assessment firms. The introductory chapter provides an historical overview of the rise of risk assessment in the U.S., with particular emphasis on the role of seismic risk assessment. Four key components of risk assessment and decision support software are analyzed in detail in the remaining papers: treatment of uncertainty, loss assessment, modeling of seismic mitigation strategies, and visualization of risk and uncertainty. The volume lays out a road map for future developments in risk modeling and decision support and positions earthquake engineering research within the family of risk analysis tools and techniques.

Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XIV
Introduction....Pages 1-4
A Brief History of Seismic Risk Assessment....Pages 5-81
Perspectives on the History of Seismic Risk Assessment....Pages 83-100
Strategic Directions in Seismic Modeling: HAZUS® Development and Current Applications for Catastrophe Planning....Pages 101-116
Perspectives on Development and Current Applications for Catastrophe Planning....Pages 117-133
Loss Estimation Models and Metrics....Pages 135-170
Perspectives on Loss Estimation Models and Metrics....Pages 171-183
Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty....Pages 185-198
Perspectives on Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty....Pages 199-226
Modeling Seismic Mitigation Strategies....Pages 227-245
Perspectives on Modeling Seismic Mitigation Strategies....Pages 247-260
Visualizing Uncertainty in Natural Hazards....Pages 261-294
Perspectives on Visualizing Uncertainty in Natural Hazards....Pages 295-318
Conclusion....Pages 319-321
Back Matter....Pages 323-332

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The papers in this volume integrate results from current research efforts in earthquake engineering with research from the larger risk assessment community. The authors include risk and hazard researchers from the major U.S. hazard and earthquake centers and some from abroad as well as programmers and analysts from leading insurance and risk assessment firms. The introductory chapter provides an historical overview of the rise of risk assessment in the U.S., with particular emphasis on the role of seismic risk assessment. Four key components of risk assessment and decision support software are analyzed in detail in the remaining papers: treatment of uncertainty, loss assessment, modeling of seismic mitigation strategies, and visualization of risk and uncertainty. The volume lays out a road map for future developments in risk modeling and decision support and positions earthquake engineering research within the family of risk analysis tools and techniques.

Content:
Front Matter....Pages I-XIV
Introduction....Pages 1-4
A Brief History of Seismic Risk Assessment....Pages 5-81
Perspectives on the History of Seismic Risk Assessment....Pages 83-100
Strategic Directions in Seismic Modeling: HAZUS® Development and Current Applications for Catastrophe Planning....Pages 101-116
Perspectives on Development and Current Applications for Catastrophe Planning....Pages 117-133
Loss Estimation Models and Metrics....Pages 135-170
Perspectives on Loss Estimation Models and Metrics....Pages 171-183
Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty....Pages 185-198
Perspectives on Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty....Pages 199-226
Modeling Seismic Mitigation Strategies....Pages 227-245
Perspectives on Modeling Seismic Mitigation Strategies....Pages 247-260
Visualizing Uncertainty in Natural Hazards....Pages 261-294
Perspectives on Visualizing Uncertainty in Natural Hazards....Pages 295-318
Conclusion....Pages 319-321
Back Matter....Pages 323-332
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