Ebook: Emerging Threats to Energy Security and Stability

Emerging Threats to Energy Security and Stability January 23 to January 25, 2004, Windsor Castle, UK This two-day NATO-sponsored workshop was organised by the Windsor Energy Group and MEC International Ltd with support from NATO’s Science Committee. The workshop was designed to promote a public-private sector exchange on how best to address issues arising in energy security at a time of growing uncertainty. In particular, it sought to assess emerging threats to energy security and stability and discuss new security strategies to protect global energy supplies from regional instability and terrorism. The format involved a wide-ranging international group of poli- formers and advisers from NATO, Partner and other countries, in a unique forum for intensive expert discussion. Background The international community is increasingly conscious of the need to develop new energy security strategies in order to protect global energy supplies from regional instability and terrorism. Energy security is a vital element in international stability. However, a variety of energy-related economic, technical, and military/political factors pose serious challenges to the international community’s pursuit of energy security and stability: The global economy is expected to continue to be largely dependent on oil and gas for the next twenty to thirty years. Current levels of production may need to be doubled in this period, with most of the increment coming from the Gulf States who control 66% of global oil reserves and 40% of global natural gas reserves. There are forecasts of significant capacity shortfalls.

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With the global economy set to be largely dependent on oil and gas for the next twenty to thirty years, and global terrorism more prevalent and more focused on economic targets, the threat to energy sources and supply is real and increasing.

"Emerging Threats to Energy Security and Stability" is a compendium of papers from the 2004 NATO Workshop at Windsor Castle organized by the Windsor Energy Group and MEC International. The workshop was co-directed by Sir David Gore Booth, former UK Ambassador to Saudi Arabia and Middle East Director - Foreign and Commonwealth Office, and Dr. Evgeny Velikhov, President, the Russian Research Center, Kurchatov Institute.

Representatives from 20 countries participated in the workshop; including experts and policy makers from key governments, international organizations and the private sector. The papers examine strengths and vulnerabilities of global energy infrastructure, assessing emerging threats to energy security, and developing recommendations for energy security strategies to counter the threats posed by supply imbalance, regional instability and terrorism.

Aimed at those involved in infrastructure security as well as the Energy Sector, the publication also includes background papers on the World Energy Market, covering such issues as the Geo-Political Future of the Gulf, China and OPEC, and regional briefings on Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Central Asia and the Caspian Basin.

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With the global economy set to be largely dependent on oil and gas for the next twenty to thirty years, and global terrorism more prevalent and more focused on economic targets, the threat to energy sources and supply is real and increasing.

"Emerging Threats to Energy Security and Stability" is a compendium of papers from the 2004 NATO Workshop at Windsor Castle organized by the Windsor Energy Group and MEC International. The workshop was co-directed by Sir David Gore Booth, former UK Ambassador to Saudi Arabia and Middle East Director - Foreign and Commonwealth Office, and Dr. Evgeny Velikhov, President, the Russian Research Center, Kurchatov Institute.

Representatives from 20 countries participated in the workshop; including experts and policy makers from key governments, international organizations and the private sector. The papers examine strengths and vulnerabilities of global energy infrastructure, assessing emerging threats to energy security, and developing recommendations for energy security strategies to counter the threats posed by supply imbalance, regional instability and terrorism.

Aimed at those involved in infrastructure security as well as the Energy Sector, the publication also includes background papers on the World Energy Market, covering such issues as the Geo-Political Future of the Gulf, China and OPEC, and regional briefings on Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Central Asia and the Caspian Basin.

Content:
Front Matter....Pages i-xiv
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
A Summary of the Discussions....Pages 3-8
Front Matter....Pages 9-9
An Overview....Pages 11-12
A Political Perspective....Pages 13-18
An Analytical Perspective....Pages 19-32
An Economic Perspective....Pages 33-49
Front Matter....Pages 51-51
Energy Security and Unresolved Conflict in the Caucasus....Pages 53-58
Prospects for Russian Energy....Pages 59-63
Front Matter....Pages 65-65
Overview....Pages 67-70
The International Energy Forum and Energy Security & Stability....Pages 71-78
The View from Brussels....Pages 79-86
Front Matter....Pages 87-87
National Strategic Energy Interests and Creating Regional Stability in the Middle East....Pages 89-99
Emerging Threats to Energy Security and Stability....Pages 101-123
IRAQ: A Japanese Perspective....Pages 125-126
Front Matter....Pages 127-127
Libya....Pages 129-136
The North African Challenge....Pages 137-140
Front Matter....Pages 141-141
Turkey & Nato....Pages 143-145
Tatarstan: Euro Islam in the Volga Region....Pages 147-154
Front Matter....Pages 155-168
Introduction....Pages 169-169
Shipping: Vital, Vulnerable and Little Understood....Pages 171-173
Front Matter....Pages 175-181
The Straits of Malacca: Critical Sea-Lane Chokepoint....Pages 169-169
Front Matter....Pages 183-193
The Geo-Political Future of the Gulf....Pages 195-195
China and Opec....Pages 197-203
Egypt — a Promise Yet to be Fulfilled....Pages 205-213
Egypt’s Race for Gas Export Markets....Pages 215-222
Saudi Arabia....Pages 223-242
Saudi Society....Pages 243-255
Central Asia and the Caspian Basin....Pages 257-268
Front Matter....Pages 269-275
Initiative: Energy Security and Unresolved Conflict in the Caucasus....Pages 277-277
Initiative on Pipelines Ports and Shipping Security - Building Public-Private Cooperation....Pages 279-279
Energy Security & Nato Strategic Interests After 9/11....Pages 281-282
Front Matter....Pages 283-299
Epolitix....Pages 301-301
Epolitix....Pages 303-308
Bloomberg News....Pages 309-311
The Times....Pages 313-314
....Pages 315-316