Ebook: BELARUS CHANGE TRACKER - June/August 2022

The Belarusian regime
is deepening dependence
on Russia and
institutionalising relations
with Russian-occupied
territories in Georgia and
Ukraine. There is an ongoing
militarisation of both the
Belarusian authorities and
the democratic forces.
Economic recession
endures, despite Russia’s
support and efforts to enter
new markets, due to
severed ties with the West
and Ukraine. Real wages are
tumbling. The combination
of budgetary deficit and
financial default is forcing
the Belarus government
resort to money issue and
tax increases.
The Lukashenka regime has
most likely exhausted
resources endeavouring to
increase trust among the
politically-neutral part of
society. The regime's policy
has led to a significant
demand for a forceful
struggle against the
government in the
protest part of
society.