Ebook: 2052: a global forecast for the next forty years
Author: Randers Jørgen
- Tags: Histoire économique--21e siècle, Prévision économique, Economic history--21st century, Economic forecasting, Economic history, Economic history -- 21st century, Histoire économique -- 21e siècle, Prévision économique
- Year: 2012
- Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing
- City: White River Junction;Vt
- Language: English
- epub
Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline."
So, where are we now? And what does our future look like? In the book 2052, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead.
The good news:...