Ebook: Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting
Author: Tommy Bengtsson Nico Keilman
- Tags: Social Sciences, Demography, Population Economics, Statistics for Social Science Behavorial Science Education Public Policy and Law
- Series: Demographic Research Monographs
- Year: 2019
- Publisher: Springer International Publishing
- Edition: 1st ed.
- Language: English
- pdf
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.